Will the Republicans pass the Obamacare replacement?

Well, let's see, is it a big tax cut for rich people?  Yes, it is.

4) Taxes repealed

Finally, Ryancare repeals almost all of the other Obamacare taxes, meaning it probably won’t pay for itself. Repealing the Obamacare taxes on the rich is just a big giveaway to the rich.

That's really the only criterion that matters here. Yes, they will pass it.